Employers optimistic on hiring in 2010

More than one-half of firms surveyed expect to add staff in the next 12 months: Bank of Canada

When it comes to hiring, employers are feeling a little more optimistic, according to the latest quarterly Business Outlook Survey conducted by the Bank of Canada.

Over the next 12 months, 54 per cent of 100 firms surveyed in the fourth quarter of 2009 said they expect to increase the number of employees, while 14 per cent said they expect to decrease the number of staff.

That’s a notable improvement from the third quarter, when the same survey found 42 per cent expected to add employees and 15 per cent expected to cut. It’s also the most positive outlook employers have had since the first quarter of 2007, according to the Bank of Canada figures. (See below for a comprehensive look at the numbers dating back to 1998.)

While employers expect the economic recovery to be gradual, employers are planning on increasing investment spending. And the credit crunch appears to be easing somewhat over the past three months, although responses to the survey suggest that improvements have been modest and concentrated among large firms.

FUTURE EMPLOYMENT LEVEL

Over the next 12 months, your firm's level of employment is expected to be…

Date

Higher (%)

Lower (%)

Balance of opinion*

Q4 2009

54

14

41

Q3 2009

42

15

27

Q2 2009

39

17

22

Q1 2009

25

26

-1

Q4 2008

20

28

-8

Q3 2008

40

12

28

Q2 2008

44

11

33

Q1 2008

45

12

33

Q4 2007

42

12

30

Q3 2007

45

8

37

Q2 2007

46

12

34

Q1 2007

51

6

45

Q4 2006

50

10

40

Q3 2006

52

11

41

Q2 2006

44

9

35

Q1 2006

51

8

43

Q4 2005

58

9

50

Q3 2005

59

9

51

Q2 2005

46

14

32

Q1 2005

50

11

39

Q4 2004

50

12

38

Q3 2004

44

11

33

Q2 2004

47

15

32

Q1 2004

45

14

31

Q4 2003

41

14

27

Q3 2003

43

10

33

Q2 2003

33

15

18

Q1 2003

47

13

34

Q4 2002

40

18

22

Q3 2002

47

16

31

Q2 2002

48

11

38

Q1 2002

44

18

26

Q4 2001

28

27

1

Q3 2001

31

20

11

Q2 2001

34

17

17

Q1 2001

43

13

30

Q4 2000

44

17

27

Q3 2000

47

12

35

Q2 2000

52

15

36

Q1 2000

46

13

33

Q4 1999

50

13

38

Q3 1999

38

15

23

Q2 1999

49

14

35

Q1 1999

38

20

18

Q4 1998

35

20

15

Q3 1998

28

28

0

*Balance of opinion figure represents percentage of firms expecting higher levels of employment minus the percentage expecting lower levels.

Latest stories